Page 121 - 電路板季刊第111期
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電路板季刊 2026.4       產業脈動 119


            From ABF to T-Glass: the next supply              Each of these materials shares
            /shortage?                                   the same structural vulnerabilities that
                 This material shortage is becom-        made ABF and T-Glass into potential

            ing a pattern the semiconductor pack-        risks of full supply chain shutdown.
            aging supply chain. It reflects the          Concentrated supply bases, multi-year
            existence of weak points and potential       lead times for capacity expansion, long
            risks.                                       and expensive qualification cycles, and
                                                         a historical industry culture that treated
                 The  question  the  industry  must
            now confront is not whether the next         upstream materials as interchange-
            bottleneck will emerge, but which mate-      able commodities rather than strategic
            rial it will be.                             assets.
                                                              The geopolitical dimension com-
                 The candidates are already visi-
            ble:                                         pounds the technical and commercial
                                                         risks. Europe  and the United  States
             •  HVLP4 and HVLP5 copper foils, where      have,  to  date,  made  no  meaningful
              Mitsui has been pushed to triple its       moves to establish domestic or regional
              expansion plans within a single year       production of advanced glass fiber, spe-
              yet still cannot match demand pro-         cialty copper foils, or high-end CCLs,
              jections,                                  despite the fact that these materials are

             •  Solder masks and photo imageable         now, by any reasonable definition, stra-
              dielectrics required for finer-pitch       tegic assets for national security and
              interconnects,                             economic competitiveness.

             •  Specialty resin systems for M8-grade          And the Japanese government
              and beyond CCLs, and even the              has recognized the stakes, approving

              coated drill bits needed to process        Nittobo's Fukushima expansion under
              increasingly  complex  multilayer          the Economic Security Promotion Act
              boards.                                    and providing subsidies.
                                                              So, what are the next steps?
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